

| It has been one of those years that follow an exceptionally good year. Never as flattering, and somewhat flattened. But that is how investing is some of the previous year's gains are clawed back. Despite a headline result that pales against the 05/06 year's, the reality is that we cannot be dissatisfied with what we have achieved in terms of consolidating and preserving previous gains. In my last report, I predicted as follows: "I would expect 2007 returns to be considerably lower. Past experience would indicate that they might be in the range of 4-8% after tax. The international equities market should give good returns and these will be enhanced if the New Zealand Dollar falls to a lower level. International Bonds should give adequate returns due to low inflation and the possibility of dropping long-term interest rates. New Zealand bonds may struggle especially if interest rates are increased to dampen inflation." Like everyone else's, it seems, my predictions of exchange rate movements were off the mark, but the rest of it was close to the mark. We know that a result like 2005/06 was unduly flattering. The other side of the coin is that this year's result is unduly flattened. The real performance is somewhere in between. It's for this very reason that results are more fairly expressed in terms of the last five years' average, not as individual years. The last year for the Seafarers Retirement Fund is one that has thrown up a number of challenges for the trustees both in the short and long term. These include areas such as taxation, KiwiSaver, administration managers, member issues, fund performance and investment benchmarks. All were dealt with by the trustees using their skills or in conjunction with professional advisors. Some of these issues have no obvious answers and the trustees have to step back and identify the issues and our goal, then make the necessary decisions. |
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InvestmentsThe returns this year of 4.29% after tax were significantly below the stellar 17.5% returns of 2005/06. Investment markets tend to do this, as they are driven by investor sentiment, resulting in assets becoming over-valued then under-valued. This is why our investment objective is set for a five-year time frame. It is to achieve a real rate of 3% per annum over this period. We have achieved a real return of 6.0% for the last 5 years, which exceeds the objective by 0.46%. |
Trustee MeetingsIn the course of every year, the trustees have to deal with numerous issues and these can normally be categorised into four areas: member, investment, administration and legislation. |
Outlook for 2008The international outlook for shares is positive as the major economies are showing growth. However, most of the returns will depend on what happens to the value of the New Zealand dollar. If it decreases in value from 75 cents to the USA dollar, this will tend to enhance returns here. The Australasian share outlook is more subdued due to inflation concerns and rising interest rates. International bonds will continue to deliver adequate returns while New Zealand bonds will continue their poor performance due to rising interest rates causing capital losses and reduced returns. |
2006 Annual Report AwardOur last years annual report won the ASFONZ (Association of Superannuation Funds of New Zealand) award for small schemes. This makes it four significant awards in six years so the trustees were very proud of this and so should members be. The awards are for communication of investment and other statutory information to members. The judges provide us with information on where we can improve and areas where we have done well. |
Thank youThe running of the Seafarers Retirement Fund is a team effort with many involved. The contribution made by Jacques Martin will be missed and so will both Maria Kane and Nicola Daniel. Thanks to all our investment managers, Chris Voghterr, Ross Bradding and Russell Garrett, for their work and to Bernie Higgins and John Hammond from AON. |
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